# Market Regime Shadow → Live Restart Criteria

Live stays paused while this file is active unless Sir explicitly overrides.

Restart only if all are true:

- Kill-switch deliberately removed after review.
- Mainnet reconcile is ok, stops_missing=0, no unexpected exposure.
- Market-regime shadow has at least 30 closed paper trades.
- Realized paper PnL > 0.
- Last 20 closed paper trades PnL > 0.
- Winrate >= 45% OR profit factor >= 1.25.
- Average trade duration is not dominated by <15m scalps.
- No live leverage above 1x until the above remains true for two reporting windows.

Current optimization:

- Live entries paused because recent trade history shows negative expectancy.
- New shadow strategy uses BTC/ETH market regime:
  - bullish regime -> only long candidates;
  - bearish regime -> only short candidates;
  - choppy regime -> no trade.
- Candidate entries require trend alignment, healthy RSI, acceptable spread, acceptable volatility, and volume confirmation.
- Paper exits use stop, dead-fish/time exit, profit-lock and trailing logic.